**Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature near 19°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, supporting the 85.5% market-implied probability.** Current observations show early-morning readings around 18–20°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 70–90%, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. In Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, September typically features declining averages with daily lows near 21–22°C; today’s stable, cloudy pattern suppresses further drops while preventing significant warming overnight. No incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative events appear in short-range guidance, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 19°C. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration briefings and hourly station data for any late shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日重庆气温最低？
9月11日重庆气温最低？
19°C 99%
17°C 2.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
19°C 99%
17°C 2.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
16°C或以下
$51 交易量
1%
17°C
$50 交易量
2%
18°C
$159 交易量
<1%
19°C
$191 交易量
99%
20°C
$233 交易量
<1%
21°C
$114 交易量
<1%
22°C
$40 交易量
<1%
23°C
$35 交易量
<1%
24°C
$35 交易量
<1%
25°C
$35 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature near 19°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, supporting the 85.5% market-implied probability.** Current observations show early-morning readings around 18–20°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 70–90%, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. In Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, September typically features declining averages with daily lows near 21–22°C; today’s stable, cloudy pattern suppresses further drops while preventing significant warming overnight. No incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative events appear in short-range guidance, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 19°C. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration briefings and hourly station data for any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$980结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature near 19°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, supporting the 85.5% market-implied probability.** Current observations show early-morning readings around 18–20°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 70–90%, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. In Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, September typically features declining averages with daily lows near 21–22°C; today’s stable, cloudy pattern suppresses further drops while preventing significant warming overnight. No incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative events appear in short-range guidance, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 19°C. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration briefings and hourly station data for any late shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$980结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature near 19°C for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, supporting the 85.5% market-implied probability.** Current observations show early-morning readings around 18–20°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 70–90%, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. In Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, September typically features declining averages with daily lows near 21–22°C; today’s stable, cloudy pattern suppresses further drops while preventing significant warming overnight. No incoming cold fronts or clear-sky radiative events appear in short-range guidance, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 19°C. Traders monitor updated China Meteorological Administration briefings and hourly station data for any late shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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