Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in Denver on September 13 in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover early in the night, and weak radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–63 °F while leaving room for 57 °F or below if clearer conditions or a faster wind shift allow stronger cooling. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to these variables, and the spread in outcomes reflects typical divergence among short-range models this far ahead of the minimum temperature window. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日丹佛最低温度?
76°F或更高 88%
66-67华氏度 39%
60-61°F 31%
57°F或以下 30%
57°F或以下
30%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
22%
66-67华氏度
39%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76°F或更高
88%
76°F或更高 88%
66-67华氏度 39%
60-61°F 31%
57°F或以下 30%
57°F或以下
30%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
22%
66-67华氏度
39%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76°F或更高
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in Denver on September 13 in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover early in the night, and weak radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with a slight thunderstorm chance. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–63 °F while leaving room for 57 °F or below if clearer conditions or a faster wind shift allow stronger cooling. Denver’s high-elevation setting amplifies sensitivity to these variables, and the spread in outcomes reflects typical divergence among short-range models this far ahead of the minimum temperature window. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题