Persistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日休斯顿最低温度？
9月13日休斯顿最低温度？
78-79°F 96%
74-75华氏度 69%
76-77°F 49%
71°F或以下 7%
$577 交易量
$577 交易量
2026-09-13
71°F或以下
7%
72-73°F
7%
74-75华氏度
69%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
96%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85华氏度
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 96%
74-75华氏度 69%
76-77°F 49%
71°F或以下 7%
$577 交易量
$577 交易量
2026-09-13
71°F或以下
$0 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
7%
74-75华氏度
$15 交易量
69%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
49%
78-79°F
$220 交易量
96%
80-81°F
$343 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
<1%
84-85华氏度
$0 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
<1%
90°F或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$577结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$577结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETPersistent warm and humid conditions, driven by southerly flow and elevated dew points near 75–79°F, are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area on September 13. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum temperature in the upper 70s, aligning with the 91% market-implied probability for 78–79°F. This reflects typical mid-September climatology for the region, where the absence of a strong cold front or significant cloud cover and rain prevents substantial radiational cooling. A realistic scenario that could shift the outcome lower would require unexpected widespread nocturnal rainfall or a sharper wind shift, though current model consensus assigns low odds to such developments before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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