Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月11日慕尼黑最低气温？
15°C或更高 52%
5°C或以下 46%
10°C 28%
9°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
46%
6°C
3%
7°C
12%
8°C
25%
9°C
28%
10°C
28%
11°C
17%
12°C
6%
13°C
16%
14°C
17%
15°C或更高
52%
15°C或更高 52%
5°C或以下 46%
10°C 28%
9°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
5°C或以下
$119 交易量
46%
6°C
$373 交易量
3%
7°C
$13 交易量
12%
8°C
$0 交易量
25%
9°C
$0 交易量
28%
10°C
$0 交易量
28%
11°C
$0 交易量
17%
12°C
$571 交易量
6%
13°C
$0 交易量
16%
14°C
$0 交易量
17%
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,076结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,076结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题