Strong trader consensus around a 25°C low for Guangzhou on September 12 reflects consensus meteorological model outputs and observational data showing overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate light northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity levels supporting minimal radiative cooling, consistent with the historical average low of 24.5°C for the date. This positioning aligns with real-time data releases through the day. A notable deviation could occur if unforecasted cloud cover or precipitation enhances cooling, or if localized urban effects push readings slightly lower than model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日广州最低气温?
25°C 99%
20°C 91.8%
24°C 4%
23°C 1.9%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
92%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
25°C 99%
20°C 91.8%
24°C 4%
23°C 1.9%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
92%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong trader consensus around a 25°C low for Guangzhou on September 12 reflects consensus meteorological model outputs and observational data showing overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate light northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity levels supporting minimal radiative cooling, consistent with the historical average low of 24.5°C for the date. This positioning aligns with real-time data releases through the day. A notable deviation could occur if unforecasted cloud cover or precipitation enhances cooling, or if localized urban effects push readings slightly lower than model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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