Forecast models from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high probability of overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 13, which typically limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near or slightly above the 24.4 °C climatological average. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated dew points around 23–25 °C further reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the overnight low most likely between 25–27 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while the 37 % weighting on 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty if convection suppresses cooling more than expected. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 12 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日广州最低气温？
9月13日广州最低气温？
20°C或以下 81%
30°C或更高 80%
25°C 45%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
81%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
25%
27℃
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C或更高
80%
20°C或以下 81%
30°C或更高 80%
25°C 45%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
81%
21°C
$0 交易量
14%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$22 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
25%
27℃
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high probability of overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 13, which typically limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near or slightly above the 24.4 °C climatological average. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated dew points around 23–25 °C further reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the overnight low most likely between 25–27 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while the 37 % weighting on 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty if convection suppresses cooling more than expected. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 12 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high probability of overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 13, which typically limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near or slightly above the 24.4 °C climatological average. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated dew points around 23–25 °C further reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the overnight low most likely between 25–27 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while the 37 % weighting on 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty if convection suppresses cooling more than expected. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 12 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high probability of overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms for Guangzhou on September 13, which typically limit radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near or slightly above the 24.4 °C climatological average. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated dew points around 23–25 °C further reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the overnight low most likely between 25–27 °C. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because small differences in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while the 37 % weighting on 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty if convection suppresses cooling more than expected. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 12 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题