**Forecast models currently indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Amsterdam on September 11, 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes (20 °C at 46.5 %, 21 °C at 24.0 %, 19 °C at 21.5 %).** Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and European models, show afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and southwesterly flow. This pattern limits strong daytime heating compared with clearer conditions. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 19.6 °C, and September 2026 has already run cooler than normal across the Netherlands, reinforcing expectations that temperatures will stay close to seasonal norms rather than spiking higher. Key variables traders are watching include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, and any late adjustments in the strength of the southwesterly wind. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution. Lower-probability outcomes above 22 °C or below 18 °C would require either stronger warm advection or more persistent cloud/rain than currently indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月11日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
20°C 47%
21°C 27%
19°C 23%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
25%
20°C
47%
21°C
22%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 47%
21°C 27%
19°C 23%
18°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
3%
17°C
$21 交易量
3%
18°C
$0 交易量
8%
19°C
$56 交易量
25%
20°C
$139 交易量
47%
21°C
$7 交易量
22%
22°C
$45 交易量
5%
23°C
$100 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Amsterdam on September 11, 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes (20 °C at 46.5 %, 21 °C at 24.0 %, 19 °C at 21.5 %).**
Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and European models, show afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and southwesterly flow. This pattern limits strong daytime heating compared with clearer conditions. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 19.6 °C, and September 2026 has already run cooler than normal across the Netherlands, reinforcing expectations that temperatures will stay close to seasonal norms rather than spiking higher.
Key variables traders are watching include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, and any late adjustments in the strength of the southwesterly wind. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution. Lower-probability outcomes above 22 °C or below 18 °C would require either stronger warm advection or more persistent cloud/rain than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$368结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Amsterdam on September 11, 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes (20 °C at 46.5 %, 21 °C at 24.0 %, 19 °C at 21.5 %).**
Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and European models, show afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and southwesterly flow. This pattern limits strong daytime heating compared with clearer conditions. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 19.6 °C, and September 2026 has already run cooler than normal across the Netherlands, reinforcing expectations that temperatures will stay close to seasonal norms rather than spiking higher.
Key variables traders are watching include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, and any late adjustments in the strength of the southwesterly wind. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution. Lower-probability outcomes above 22 °C or below 18 °C would require either stronger warm advection or more persistent cloud/rain than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$368结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models currently indicate a daytime high near 19–20 °C for Amsterdam on September 11, 2026, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes (20 °C at 46.5 %, 21 °C at 24.0 %, 19 °C at 21.5 %).** Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and European models, show afternoon maxima of 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and southwesterly flow. This pattern limits strong daytime heating compared with clearer conditions. The climatological average high for the date is approximately 19.6 °C, and September 2026 has already run cooler than normal across the Netherlands, reinforcing expectations that temperatures will stay close to seasonal norms rather than spiking higher. Key variables traders are watching include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress the peak by 1–2 °C, and any late adjustments in the strength of the southwesterly wind. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution. Lower-probability outcomes above 22 °C or below 18 °C would require either stronger warm advection or more persistent cloud/rain than currently indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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