Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 26°C (34%) and 27°C (31.5%) amid 25°C at 27.5%. The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast calls for 27–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent weakening of Tropical Storm Saudel's remnants and a developing continental airstream have kept daytime maxima elevated while maintaining high humidity that supports overnight temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, but variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise low, with traders weighting the latest observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日香港最低气温？
9月7日香港最低气温？
22°C或以下 51%
26°C 34%
32°C或更高 33%
27°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
51%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
11%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
33%
22°C或以下 51%
26°C 34%
32°C或更高 33%
27°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
51%
23°C
$0 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
34%
27°C
$0 交易量
32%
28°C
$20 交易量
11%
29°C
$0 交易量
12%
30°C
$0 交易量
19%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 26°C (34%) and 27°C (31.5%) amid 25°C at 27.5%. The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast calls for 27–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent weakening of Tropical Storm Saudel's remnants and a developing continental airstream have kept daytime maxima elevated while maintaining high humidity that supports overnight temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, but variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise low, with traders weighting the latest observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 26°C (34%) and 27°C (31.5%) amid 25°C at 27.5%. The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast calls for 27–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent weakening of Tropical Storm Saudel's remnants and a developing continental airstream have kept daytime maxima elevated while maintaining high humidity that supports overnight temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, but variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise low, with traders weighting the latest observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETHong Kong's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 26°C (34%) and 27°C (31.5%) amid 25°C at 27.5%. The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast calls for 27–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent weakening of Tropical Storm Saudel's remnants and a developing continental airstream have kept daytime maxima elevated while maintaining high humidity that supports overnight temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, but variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise low, with traders weighting the latest observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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