Forecasts from MetService and international models indicate mild conditions for Wellington on September 3, with expected overnight lows near 13°C amid strong northwesterly winds that advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea. These winds, combined with variable cloud cover and potential showers, create uncertainty in the precise minimum, as localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or brief southerly shifts could lower readings while sustained flow supports higher values. Historical September averages near 9–10°C highlight the current anomaly, driving the market's balanced probabilities across cold extremes, mid-range values, and warmer outliers as traders weigh model consensus on frontal timing and wind persistence. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日惠灵顿最低气温？
9月3日惠灵顿最低气温？
8°C或以下 69%
18°C或更高 69%
15°C 50%
10°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
8°C或以下
69%
9°C
8%
10°C
45%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C或更高
69%
8°C或以下 69%
18°C或更高 69%
15°C 50%
10°C 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
8°C或以下
$5 交易量
69%
9°C
$5 交易量
8%
10°C
$5 交易量
45%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$5 交易量
50%
16°C
$5 交易量
8%
17°C
$5 交易量
8%
18°C或更高
$5 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from MetService and international models indicate mild conditions for Wellington on September 3, with expected overnight lows near 13°C amid strong northwesterly winds that advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea. These winds, combined with variable cloud cover and potential showers, create uncertainty in the precise minimum, as localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or brief southerly shifts could lower readings while sustained flow supports higher values. Historical September averages near 9–10°C highlight the current anomaly, driving the market's balanced probabilities across cold extremes, mid-range values, and warmer outliers as traders weigh model consensus on frontal timing and wind persistence. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from MetService and international models indicate mild conditions for Wellington on September 3, with expected overnight lows near 13°C amid strong northwesterly winds that advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea. These winds, combined with variable cloud cover and potential showers, create uncertainty in the precise minimum, as localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or brief southerly shifts could lower readings while sustained flow supports higher values. Historical September averages near 9–10°C highlight the current anomaly, driving the market's balanced probabilities across cold extremes, mid-range values, and warmer outliers as traders weigh model consensus on frontal timing and wind persistence. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecasts from MetService and international models indicate mild conditions for Wellington on September 3, with expected overnight lows near 13°C amid strong northwesterly winds that advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea. These winds, combined with variable cloud cover and potential showers, create uncertainty in the precise minimum, as localized radiative cooling under clearer skies or brief southerly shifts could lower readings while sustained flow supports higher values. Historical September averages near 9–10°C highlight the current anomaly, driving the market's balanced probabilities across cold extremes, mid-range values, and warmer outliers as traders weigh model consensus on frontal timing and wind persistence. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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