**Latest multi-model forecasts for Istanbul on September 2, 2026, consistently point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and high pressure around 1016–1017 hPa, with negligible precipitation risk.** This setup favors modest daytime warming from clear solar insolation, tempered by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus the northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in peak heating create genuine uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which together capture the bulk of market-implied probability. New GFS and ECMWF runs overnight or early on September 2 will provide the next key data point to narrow the range before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月2日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
26°C 48%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
$191 交易量
1%
23°C
$192 交易量
1%
24°C
$145 交易量
3%
25°C
$217 交易量
5%
26°C
$219 交易量
48%
27°C
$556 交易量
41%
28°C
$182 交易量
6%
29°C
$78 交易量
3%
30°C
$479 交易量
1%
31°C
$97 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$102 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest multi-model forecasts for Istanbul on September 2, 2026, consistently point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and high pressure around 1016–1017 hPa, with negligible precipitation risk.**
This setup favors modest daytime warming from clear solar insolation, tempered by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus the northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in peak heating create genuine uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which together capture the bulk of market-implied probability. New GFS and ECMWF runs overnight or early on September 2 will provide the next key data point to narrow the range before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,457结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest multi-model forecasts for Istanbul on September 2, 2026, consistently point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and high pressure around 1016–1017 hPa, with negligible precipitation risk.**
This setup favors modest daytime warming from clear solar insolation, tempered by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus the northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in peak heating create genuine uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which together capture the bulk of market-implied probability. New GFS and ECMWF runs overnight or early on September 2 will provide the next key data point to narrow the range before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,457结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Latest multi-model forecasts for Istanbul on September 2, 2026, consistently point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies, light to moderate northeast winds, and high pressure around 1016–1017 hPa, with negligible precipitation risk.** This setup favors modest daytime warming from clear solar insolation, tempered by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus the northerly flow. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in peak heating create genuine uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which together capture the bulk of market-implied probability. New GFS and ECMWF runs overnight or early on September 2 will provide the next key data point to narrow the range before official observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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