Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday low of 61–64°F in New York City under clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F. Radiational cooling overnight under high pressure and low dew points near 50–55°F favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. This aligns with early-September climatology, when Central Park averages a 64°F minimum. Traders are weighing the latest model runs and the final NWS forecast update before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日纽约市的最低温度?
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
56-57华氏度 47%
58-59°F 47%
55°F或以下
46%
56-57华氏度
47%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
47%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
37%
74华氏度或更高
1%
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
56-57华氏度 47%
58-59°F 47%
55°F或以下
46%
56-57华氏度
47%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
47%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
37%
74华氏度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday low of 61–64°F in New York City under clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F. Radiational cooling overnight under high pressure and low dew points near 50–55°F favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. This aligns with early-September climatology, when Central Park averages a 64°F minimum. Traders are weighing the latest model runs and the final NWS forecast update before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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