Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough. High humidity (75–95%) and light winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while urban heat island effects and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops in densely built areas. Trader consensus clusters around 26–28°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and localized cooling rates, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability amid these variables. Updated observational data through the evening will clarify whether conditions allow a dip to 26°C or hold nearer 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日香港最低气温?
28°C 43%
27°C 38%
26°C 29%
25°C 10%
$11,437 交易量
$11,437 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
17%
26°C
29%
27°C
38%
28°C
43%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 38%
26°C 29%
25°C 10%
$11,437 交易量
$11,437 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
17%
26°C
29%
27°C
38%
28°C
43%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough. High humidity (75–95%) and light winds limit radiative cooling overnight, while urban heat island effects and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops in densely built areas. Trader consensus clusters around 26–28°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and localized cooling rates, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability amid these variables. Updated observational data through the evening will clarify whether conditions allow a dip to 26°C or hold nearer 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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