Forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF ensembles, shows minimum temperatures in Paris on August 26 clustering near 18–19 °C amid mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, while the current warm anomaly and light winds are expected to keep the urban heat island effect supportive of higher minima. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing, with some runs indicating brief clearer intervals that could allow modest additional cooling. Traders are therefore weighting the closely matched 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes most heavily, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of final forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日巴黎最低气温？
8月26日巴黎最低气温？
18°C 50%
19°C 46%
20°C 36%
17°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
14°C或以下
7%
15°C
19%
16°C
21%
17°C
31%
18°C
50%
19°C
46%
20°C
36%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C或更高
2%
18°C 50%
19°C 46%
20°C 36%
17°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
14°C或以下
$150 交易量
7%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
31%
18°C
$0 交易量
50%
19°C
$0 交易量
46%
20°C
$0 交易量
36%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
8%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C或更高
$40 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF ensembles, shows minimum temperatures in Paris on August 26 clustering near 18–19 °C amid mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, while the current warm anomaly and light winds are expected to keep the urban heat island effect supportive of higher minima. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing, with some runs indicating brief clearer intervals that could allow modest additional cooling. Traders are therefore weighting the closely matched 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes most heavily, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$190结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF ensembles, shows minimum temperatures in Paris on August 26 clustering near 18–19 °C amid mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, while the current warm anomaly and light winds are expected to keep the urban heat island effect supportive of higher minima. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing, with some runs indicating brief clearer intervals that could allow modest additional cooling. Traders are therefore weighting the closely matched 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes most heavily, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$190结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF ensembles, shows minimum temperatures in Paris on August 26 clustering near 18–19 °C amid mild southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, while the current warm anomaly and light winds are expected to keep the urban heat island effect supportive of higher minima. Slight model spread arises from variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing, with some runs indicating brief clearer intervals that could allow modest additional cooling. Traders are therefore weighting the closely matched 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes most heavily, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of final forecast updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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