Recent weather model consensus from GFS and European sources points to clear to mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Paris on August 23, favoring efficient overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered near 12–13 °C. This aligns with the current cooling trend following mid-August warmth, placing the expected low close to or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 14 °C. High surface pressure and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius limit cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate the drop, while historical analogs for similar late-August setups show frequent 11–13 °C readings. With resolution hinging on the official Météo-France minimum, traders appear to weight the narrow forecast window heavily toward the 11–13 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日巴黎最低气温?
12°C 49%
13°C 28%
11°C 18%
10°C 5%
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
18%
12°C
49%
13°C
28%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
12°C 49%
13°C 28%
11°C 18%
10°C 5%
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
18%
12°C
49%
13°C
28%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus from GFS and European sources points to clear to mostly clear skies and northeasterly flow over Paris on August 23, favoring efficient overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered near 12–13 °C. This aligns with the current cooling trend following mid-August warmth, placing the expected low close to or slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 14 °C. High surface pressure and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius limit cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate the drop, while historical analogs for similar late-August setups show frequent 11–13 °C readings. With resolution hinging on the official Météo-France minimum, traders appear to weight the narrow forecast window heavily toward the 11–13 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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