Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show cooler Atlantic air reaching Paris by August 22, driving the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C lows. Clearer skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime highs near 23°C limit afternoon recovery. Model spreads center on the exact timing of this air mass transition and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August minima around 14°C providing context for the below-average readings. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日巴黎最低气温?
12°C 34%
11°C 28%
13°C 15%
10°C 10%
9°C或以下
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
28%
12°C
34%
13°C
15%
14°C
10%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
12°C 34%
11°C 28%
13°C 15%
10°C 10%
9°C或以下
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
28%
12°C
34%
13°C
15%
14°C
10%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show cooler Atlantic air reaching Paris by August 22, driving the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C lows. Clearer skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling under light winds, while daytime highs near 23°C limit afternoon recovery. Model spreads center on the exact timing of this air mass transition and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August minima around 14°C providing context for the below-average readings. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the overnight minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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