Current forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 19°C in Warsaw on August 24, driven by moderate westerly flow under building high pressure that limits strong daytime heating and keeps skies mostly cloudy. This setup favors a peak in the 18–20°C range, with minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing determining whether the maximum reaches 19°C or edges toward 20°C. Recent cooler air advection following Saturday’s showers has lowered baseline temperatures, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling effects. Traders weigh these variables against historical late-August averages near 22°C, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日华沙的最高温度?
19°C 36%
20°C 32%
21°C 16%
18°C 14%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
14%
19°C
36%
20°C
32%
21°C
16%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C或更高
2%
19°C 36%
20°C 32%
21°C 16%
18°C 14%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
14%
19°C
36%
20°C
32%
21°C
16%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 19°C in Warsaw on August 24, driven by moderate westerly flow under building high pressure that limits strong daytime heating and keeps skies mostly cloudy. This setup favors a peak in the 18–20°C range, with minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing determining whether the maximum reaches 19°C or edges toward 20°C. Recent cooler air advection following Saturday’s showers has lowered baseline temperatures, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling effects. Traders weigh these variables against historical late-August averages near 22°C, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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