Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 21–23 °C range, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This follows a measurable cooling trend, with daily lows dropping from near 24 °C on August 29 to projected 22 °C on August 31 amid scattered showers and moderate northeast flow. Market-implied odds favor 18 °C or below (46.5 %) despite these consensus projections, reflecting trader emphasis on model spread, potential for stronger cold advection, or localized coastal effects that could push the overnight low lower than current guidance. Upcoming model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies will clarify whether the trend intensifies before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日青岛最低气温？
8月31日青岛最低气温？
18°C or below 93%
23°C 48%
24°C 40%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
18°C or below
93%
19°C
25%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
48%
24°C
40%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
4%
18°C or below 93%
23°C 48%
24°C 40%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
18°C or below
$0 交易量
93%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
48%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
14%
26°C
$0 交易量
14%
27°C
$130 交易量
10%
28°C or higher
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 21–23 °C range, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This follows a measurable cooling trend, with daily lows dropping from near 24 °C on August 29 to projected 22 °C on August 31 amid scattered showers and moderate northeast flow. Market-implied odds favor 18 °C or below (46.5 %) despite these consensus projections, reflecting trader emphasis on model spread, potential for stronger cold advection, or localized coastal effects that could push the overnight low lower than current guidance. Upcoming model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies will clarify whether the trend intensifies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 21–23 °C range, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This follows a measurable cooling trend, with daily lows dropping from near 24 °C on August 29 to projected 22 °C on August 31 amid scattered showers and moderate northeast flow. Market-implied odds favor 18 °C or below (46.5 %) despite these consensus projections, reflecting trader emphasis on model spread, potential for stronger cold advection, or localized coastal effects that could push the overnight low lower than current guidance. Upcoming model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies will clarify whether the trend intensifies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao’s minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall in the 21–23 °C range, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This follows a measurable cooling trend, with daily lows dropping from near 24 °C on August 29 to projected 22 °C on August 31 amid scattered showers and moderate northeast flow. Market-implied odds favor 18 °C or below (46.5 %) despite these consensus projections, reflecting trader emphasis on model spread, potential for stronger cold advection, or localized coastal effects that could push the overnight low lower than current guidance. Upcoming model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies will clarify whether the trend intensifies before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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