Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's overnight low on August 29 likely settling near 26–27°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling at night while elevated humidity near 90% and light southwesterly winds reduce the temperature drop compared to clearer subtropical summer nights. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—key variables in short-range guidance—could push the minimum a degree either way. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but active monsoonal moisture this week supports the current market-implied range over sharper declines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日深圳最低气温?
30°C 69%
31°C 69%
27°C 50%
26°C 39%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
37%
26°C
39%
27°C
50%
28°C
38%
29°C
37%
30°C
69%
31°C
69%
32°C or higher
1%
30°C 69%
31°C 69%
27°C 50%
26°C 39%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
37%
26°C
39%
27°C
50%
28°C
38%
29°C
37%
30°C
69%
31°C
69%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's overnight low on August 29 likely settling near 26–27°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling at night while elevated humidity near 90% and light southwesterly winds reduce the temperature drop compared to clearer subtropical summer nights. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—key variables in short-range guidance—could push the minimum a degree either way. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but active monsoonal moisture this week supports the current market-implied range over sharper declines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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