Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and ongoing convective showers from regional monsoon patterns are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Shenzhen, supporting minimum temperatures of 26–28°C on August 28. Light winds and saturated soils further reduce temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of overnight readings near 27°C amid thunderstorms. Official forecasts from agencies align on this narrow range, with model consensus reflecting typical late-summer variability in timing of rain bands. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty around exact clearing and moisture levels rather than broader climatological baselines near 25°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日深圳最低气温?
27°C 48%
28°C 40%
26°C 39%
25°C 32%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
32%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28°C
40%
29°C
26%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 48%
28°C 40%
26°C 39%
25°C 32%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
32%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28°C
40%
29°C
26%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and ongoing convective showers from regional monsoon patterns are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Shenzhen, supporting minimum temperatures of 26–28°C on August 28. Light winds and saturated soils further reduce temperature drops, consistent with recent observations of overnight readings near 27°C amid thunderstorms. Official forecasts from agencies align on this narrow range, with model consensus reflecting typical late-summer variability in timing of rain bands. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty around exact clearing and moisture levels rather than broader climatological baselines near 25°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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