Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Helsinki’s overnight low on August 30, with 15 °C and 11 °C-or-below outcomes nearly tied. The Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF guidance show an approaching cold front advecting cooler Baltic maritime air northward, while variable cloud cover and wind speeds will modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Seasonal climatology places typical late-August minima near 12–14 °C; any strengthening of northerly flow or clearer skies could push readings toward the lower cluster, whereas persistent southerly winds would favor the 15 °C outcome. Fresh model runs and official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport are the next catalysts likely to shift trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日赫尔辛基最低气温?
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 43%
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
8%
19°C
7%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
43%
11°C or below 60%
21°C or higher 43%
14°C 27%
12°C 26%
11°C or below
60%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
8%
19°C
7%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market-implied odds reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models for Helsinki’s overnight low on August 30, with 15 °C and 11 °C-or-below outcomes nearly tied. The Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF guidance show an approaching cold front advecting cooler Baltic maritime air northward, while variable cloud cover and wind speeds will modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Seasonal climatology places typical late-August minima near 12–14 °C; any strengthening of northerly flow or clearer skies could push readings toward the lower cluster, whereas persistent southerly winds would favor the 15 °C outcome. Fresh model runs and official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport are the next catalysts likely to shift trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题