Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show a low-pressure system bringing cloudy skies, southerly winds, and moderate rainfall to Helsinki on August 31, suppressing daytime maxima near 17–19 °C while permitting nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing. This setup favors overnight minima clustered around 14–16 °C, consistent with late-August climatology of 11.8 °C averages but tempered by above-normal humidity and Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spread and recent model runs introduce uncertainty in exact clearing timing, supporting the market's elevated 43.5 % implied probability for 11 °C or below alongside notable volume on 14–15 °C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 31st will refine these estimates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日赫尔辛基最低气温？
8月31日赫尔辛基最低气温？
11°C or below 44%
15°C 27%
14°C 27%
13°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C or below
44%
12°C
14%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
11%
11°C or below 44%
15°C 27%
14°C 27%
13°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C or below
$0 交易量
44%
12°C
$0 交易量
14%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$5 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
8%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C or higher
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show a low-pressure system bringing cloudy skies, southerly winds, and moderate rainfall to Helsinki on August 31, suppressing daytime maxima near 17–19 °C while permitting nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing. This setup favors overnight minima clustered around 14–16 °C, consistent with late-August climatology of 11.8 °C averages but tempered by above-normal humidity and Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spread and recent model runs introduce uncertainty in exact clearing timing, supporting the market's elevated 43.5 % implied probability for 11 °C or below alongside notable volume on 14–15 °C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 31st will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show a low-pressure system bringing cloudy skies, southerly winds, and moderate rainfall to Helsinki on August 31, suppressing daytime maxima near 17–19 °C while permitting nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing. This setup favors overnight minima clustered around 14–16 °C, consistent with late-August climatology of 11.8 °C averages but tempered by above-normal humidity and Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spread and recent model runs introduce uncertainty in exact clearing timing, supporting the market's elevated 43.5 % implied probability for 11 °C or below alongside notable volume on 14–15 °C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 31st will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show a low-pressure system bringing cloudy skies, southerly winds, and moderate rainfall to Helsinki on August 31, suppressing daytime maxima near 17–19 °C while permitting nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing. This setup favors overnight minima clustered around 14–16 °C, consistent with late-August climatology of 11.8 °C averages but tempered by above-normal humidity and Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spread and recent model runs introduce uncertainty in exact clearing timing, supporting the market's elevated 43.5 % implied probability for 11 °C or below alongside notable volume on 14–15 °C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 31st will refine these estimates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题