Recent model consensus highlights a broad low-pressure trough and possible low-pressure area tracking south of Hong Kong around September 1, promoting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with northeasterly winds, support minimum temperatures clustered near the early-September climatological average of 25–26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences in shower timing and wind strength producing the tight market clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory continues to emphasize unsettled but not extreme weather, keeping the probability distribution narrow ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日香港最低气温？
9月1日香港最低气温？
24°C 33%
26°C 32%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
1%
23°C
19%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
32%
27°C
22%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
26°C 32%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
$130 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
33%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
32%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
11%
29°C
$0 交易量
19%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus highlights a broad low-pressure trough and possible low-pressure area tracking south of Hong Kong around September 1, promoting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with northeasterly winds, support minimum temperatures clustered near the early-September climatological average of 25–26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences in shower timing and wind strength producing the tight market clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory continues to emphasize unsettled but not extreme weather, keeping the probability distribution narrow ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus highlights a broad low-pressure trough and possible low-pressure area tracking south of Hong Kong around September 1, promoting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with northeasterly winds, support minimum temperatures clustered near the early-September climatological average of 25–26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences in shower timing and wind strength producing the tight market clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory continues to emphasize unsettled but not extreme weather, keeping the probability distribution narrow ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus highlights a broad low-pressure trough and possible low-pressure area tracking south of Hong Kong around September 1, promoting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with northeasterly winds, support minimum temperatures clustered near the early-September climatological average of 25–26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with slight differences in shower timing and wind strength producing the tight market clustering around 25–27 °C outcomes. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory continues to emphasize unsettled but not extreme weather, keeping the probability distribution narrow ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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