Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 9 in the 11–14°C range, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and modest cooling. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime heating while moderate winds (8–10 mph) and high humidity promote mixing that caps overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings above typical clear-night values. Minor differences in forecast precipitation timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering between 12°C and 13–14°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spreads for resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月9日慕尼黑最低气温？
12°C 34%
13°C 29%
18°C或更高 27%
11°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
8℃或以下
4%
9°C
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
27%
12°C
34%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
27%
12°C 34%
13°C 29%
18°C或更高 27%
11°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
8℃或以下
$88 交易量
4%
9°C
$80 交易量
5%
10°C
$14 交易量
8%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
34%
13°C
$4 交易量
29%
14°C
$4 交易量
25%
15°C
$63 交易量
5%
16°C
$0 交易量
6%
17°C
$145 交易量
1%
18°C或更高
$40 交易量
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 9 in the 11–14°C range, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and modest cooling. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime heating while moderate winds (8–10 mph) and high humidity promote mixing that caps overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings above typical clear-night values. Minor differences in forecast precipitation timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering between 12°C and 13–14°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spreads for resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$437结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 9 in the 11–14°C range, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and modest cooling. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime heating while moderate winds (8–10 mph) and high humidity promote mixing that caps overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings above typical clear-night values. Minor differences in forecast precipitation timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering between 12°C and 13–14°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spreads for resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$437结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 9 in the 11–14°C range, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and modest cooling. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime heating while moderate winds (8–10 mph) and high humidity promote mixing that caps overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings above typical clear-night values. Minor differences in forecast precipitation timing, wind gusts, or boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering between 12°C and 13–14°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spreads for resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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