Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月26日休斯顿的最高温度?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,460 交易量
$36,460 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,460 交易量
$36,460 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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