Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (29.5%) to a 32°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 11, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty around the city’s typical July maximum of 31–32°C. The southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and strong solar insolation set a warm baseline, while afternoon convective showers—driven by boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps the peak. Urban heat-island effects in the Klang Valley add slight upward bias, but model spread in shower timing and intensity creates the narrow distribution across adjacent outcomes. Updated MetMalaysia guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the outlook before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月11日吉隆坡气温最高?
32°C 40%
33°C 33%
31°C 20%
30°C 6%
$17,783 交易量
$17,783 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
40%
33°C
33%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
32°C 40%
33°C 33%
31°C 20%
30°C 6%
$17,783 交易量
$17,783 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
40%
33°C
33%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (29.5%) to a 32°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 11, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty around the city’s typical July maximum of 31–32°C. The southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and strong solar insolation set a warm baseline, while afternoon convective showers—driven by boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze convergence—can increase cloud cover and trigger evaporative cooling that caps the peak. Urban heat-island effects in the Klang Valley add slight upward bias, but model spread in shower timing and intensity creates the narrow distribution across adjacent outcomes. Updated MetMalaysia guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the outlook before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题