Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature on July 9 near the seasonal normal of 84–85 °F, with the market’s narrow spread between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F brackets reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise strength of northwest flow. Light winds and surface high pressure should limit mixing, while dew points in the mid-60s will moderate peak readings; any increase in insolation or drier air could push the maximum into the upper 80s, whereas lingering stratus or a slightly stronger gradient would cap it in the low 80s. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs that keep the city just below the July climatological average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥7月9日最高气温？
芝加哥7月9日最高气温？
86-87°F 99.8%
88-89°F <1%
75°F或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,195 交易量
$57,195 交易量
2026-07-09
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
86-87°F 99.8%
88-89°F <1%
75°F或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,195 交易量
$57,195 交易量
2026-07-09
75°F或以下
$1,735 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,701 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$6,309 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$5,239 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$7,502 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$8,139 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$6,864 交易量
100%
88-89°F
$5,565 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$4,486 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$3,874 交易量
<1%
94华氏度或更高
$4,782 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature on July 9 near the seasonal normal of 84–85 °F, with the market’s narrow spread between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F brackets reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise strength of northwest flow. Light winds and surface high pressure should limit mixing, while dew points in the mid-60s will moderate peak readings; any increase in insolation or drier air could push the maximum into the upper 80s, whereas lingering stratus or a slightly stronger gradient would cap it in the low 80s. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs that keep the city just below the July climatological average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$57,195结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature on July 9 near the seasonal normal of 84–85 °F, with the market’s narrow spread between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F brackets reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise strength of northwest flow. Light winds and surface high pressure should limit mixing, while dew points in the mid-60s will moderate peak readings; any increase in insolation or drier air could push the maximum into the upper 80s, whereas lingering stratus or a slightly stronger gradient would cap it in the low 80s. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs that keep the city just below the July climatological average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,195结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature on July 9 near the seasonal normal of 84–85 °F, with the market’s narrow spread between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F brackets reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise strength of northwest flow. Light winds and surface high pressure should limit mixing, while dew points in the mid-60s will moderate peak readings; any increase in insolation or drier air could push the maximum into the upper 80s, whereas lingering stratus or a slightly stronger gradient would cap it in the low 80s. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs that keep the city just below the July climatological average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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