Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月11日马尼拉气温最高？
7月11日马尼拉气温最高？
29°C 42%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
25%
29°C
42%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
24°C或以下
$1,120 交易量
<1%
25°C
$242 交易量
<1%
26°C
$367 交易量
1%
27°C
$481 交易量
3%
28°C
$774 交易量
25%
29°C
$3,376 交易量
42%
30°C
$314 交易量
22%
31°C
$303 交易量
6%
32°C
$794 交易量
3%
33°C
$300 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$383 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$8,450结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,450结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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