Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月11日深圳气温最高？
7月11日深圳气温最高？
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
35°C 20%
33°C 13%
最新
$13,243 交易量
最新
$13,243 交易量
2026-07-11
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
20%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
35°C 20%
33°C 13%
最新
$13,243 交易量
最新
$13,243 交易量
2026-07-11
29°C or below
$1,974 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,269 交易量
1%
31°C
$516 交易量
3%
32°C
$482 交易量
3%
33°C
$976 交易量
13%
34°C
$767 交易量
29%
35°C
$4,168 交易量
20%
36°C
$501 交易量
22%
37°C
$661 交易量
6%
38°C
$452 交易量
4%
39°C or higher
$1,475 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$13,243结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,243结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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