**Recent forecasts from sources like CBS News and world-weather.info point to a high of 73–75°F at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on June 28, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific.** This coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks several degrees below inland valleys, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 70–71°F (49.5% implied probability) and nearby bins. Models show gradual afternoon clearing but limited warming due to low-level stratus and sea breezes, keeping the outcome near or slightly below seasonal averages. Earlier June heatwave conditions have eased, with current guidance emphasizing 3–6°F below-normal temperatures through the weekend. Traders appear to price in this stable marine influence and short-term model consensus, while acknowledging minor upside risk if clearing accelerates. Resolution hinges on the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for LAX maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月28日洛杉矶最高温度?
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 42%
68-69°F 13%
74-75°F 5.1%
$28,200 交易量
$28,200 交易量
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 42%
68-69°F 13%
74-75°F 5.1%
$28,200 交易量
$28,200 交易量
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent forecasts from sources like CBS News and world-weather.info point to a high of 73–75°F at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on June 28, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific.** This coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks several degrees below inland valleys, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 70–71°F (49.5% implied probability) and nearby bins. Models show gradual afternoon clearing but limited warming due to low-level stratus and sea breezes, keeping the outcome near or slightly below seasonal averages. Earlier June heatwave conditions have eased, with current guidance emphasizing 3–6°F below-normal temperatures through the weekend. Traders appear to price in this stable marine influence and short-term model consensus, while acknowledging minor upside risk if clearing accelerates. Resolution hinges on the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for LAX maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题