PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila projects a high of 33°C on June 29, 2026, with 25°C lows and 40-80% rain chances under southwest monsoon conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading 33°C (28%) and 34°C (24.5%) outcomes. Historical June averages near 32-33°C provide context, while short-term variability in convective clouds, scattered showers, and urban heat effects can shift peak readings by 1-2°C. Traders weigh model consensus on limited intensification against the possibility of clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 34-35°C or enhanced rainfall capping temperatures at 32°C, with resolution hinging on the day's maximum observed at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月29日马尼拉的最高温度?
33°C 38%
34°C 34%
32°C 20%
35°C 15%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
29%
34°C
34%
35°C
15%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 34%
32°C 20%
35°C 15%
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
29%
34°C
34%
35°C
15%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
PAGASA's latest extended outlook for Metro Manila projects a high of 33°C on June 29, 2026, with 25°C lows and 40-80% rain chances under southwest monsoon conditions, aligning closely with the market's leading 33°C (28%) and 34°C (24.5%) outcomes. Historical June averages near 32-33°C provide context, while short-term variability in convective clouds, scattered showers, and urban heat effects can shift peak readings by 1-2°C. Traders weigh model consensus on limited intensification against the possibility of clearer skies allowing brief spikes toward 34-35°C or enhanced rainfall capping temperatures at 32°C, with resolution hinging on the day's maximum observed at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题