Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月27日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
6月27日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C或以下 22.4%
33°C 14%
最新
$43,536 交易量
最新
$43,536 交易量
2026-06-27
30°C或以下
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或更高
<1%
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C或以下 22.4%
33°C 14%
最新
$43,536 交易量
最新
$43,536 交易量
2026-06-27
30°C或以下
$3,502 交易量
22%
31°C
$4,950 交易量
27%
32°C
$5,397 交易量
29%
33°C
$4,494 交易量
14%
34°C
$4,464 交易量
9%
35°C
$6,025 交易量
2%
36°C
$4,054 交易量
1%
37°C
$3,221 交易量
<1%
38°C
$2,348 交易量
<1%
39°C
$2,387 交易量
<1%
40°C或更高
$2,707 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$43,536结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,536结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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