Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 27 most likely between 29–31°C, reflecting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these levels. Subtropical high pressure combined with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography will influence daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could cap peaks or allow brief clearing to push values slightly higher. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for traders. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context for the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月27日成都气温最高?
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 14%
$36,652 交易量
$36,652 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
14%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
22%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 14%
$36,652 交易量
$36,652 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
14%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
22%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 27 most likely between 29–31°C, reflecting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these levels. Subtropical high pressure combined with regional monsoon moisture and Sichuan Basin topography will influence daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could cap peaks or allow brief clearing to push values slightly higher. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, with differences hinging on exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for traders. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context for the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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