Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城6月26日的最高温度?
26°C 100.0%
18°C及以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,689 交易量
$44,689 交易量
18°C及以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
26°C 100.0%
18°C及以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,689 交易量
$44,689 交易量
18°C及以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题