Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs for Miami on July 2 point to a daytime high near 90–91 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on that bin. Subtropical July conditions—high dew points near 77 °F, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence—normally produce maxima of 88–92 °F, while scattered thunderstorms can trim peak readings by 1–3 °F. No strong cold front or anomalous ridge is forecast through the period, keeping the distribution centered on climatological norms and limiting odds for extremes above 93 °F or below 88 °F. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely reinforce or slightly adjust these probabilities ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on July 2?
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 11%
86-87°F 9%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
48%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 11%
86-87°F 9%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
48%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs for Miami on July 2 point to a daytime high near 90–91 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on that bin. Subtropical July conditions—high dew points near 77 °F, light easterly flow, and typical afternoon sea-breeze convergence—normally produce maxima of 88–92 °F, while scattered thunderstorms can trim peak readings by 1–3 °F. No strong cold front or anomalous ridge is forecast through the period, keeping the distribution centered on climatological norms and limiting odds for extremes above 93 °F or below 88 °F. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely reinforce or slightly adjust these probabilities ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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