Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月27日莫斯科最高气温?
20°C 38%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
$18,246 交易量
$18,246 交易量
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
19%
20°C
38%
21°C
31%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
20°C 38%
21°C 31%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
$18,246 交易量
$18,246 交易量
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
19%
20°C
38%
21°C
31%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题