Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月16日圣保罗的最高温度？
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
23%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
22°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
23°C
$128 交易量
<1%
24°C
$401 交易量
1%
25°C
$587 交易量
4%
26°C
$716 交易量
16%
27°C
$3,285 交易量
23%
28°C
$1,718 交易量
33%
29°C
$448 交易量
24%
30°C
$497 交易量
5%
31°C
$138 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$344 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
交易量
$8,515结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,515结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETRecent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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