Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日上海气温最高？
8月3日上海气温最高？
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
17%
34°C
33%
35°C
40%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 17%
36°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
29°C or below
$278 交易量
<1%
30°C
$130 交易量
<1%
31°C
$200 交易量
2%
32°C
$289 交易量
3%
33°C
$597 交易量
17%
34°C
$840 交易量
33%
35°C
$1,227 交易量
40%
36°C
$261 交易量
12%
37°C
$1,470 交易量
1%
38°C
$106 交易量
2%
39°C or higher
$777 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,175结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,175结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETShort-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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