Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan indicate a modest cooling trend into mid-June, with ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily maximum near 26–28°C on June 13 amid increased cloud cover and light northerly flow. This aligns with trader emphasis on 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting typical early-summer variability before the full onset of the East Asian monsoon. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, so current guidance sits slightly below seasonal norms, likely due to transient high pressure and reduced insolation rather than a major synoptic shift. Key uncertainties remain in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated model cycles and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
27°C 33%
26°C 20%
28°C 19%
25°C 13%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
26%
27°C
33%
28°C
19%
29°C or higher
10%
27°C 33%
26°C 20%
28°C 19%
25°C 13%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
26%
27°C
33%
28°C
19%
29°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan indicate a modest cooling trend into mid-June, with ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily maximum near 26–28°C on June 13 amid increased cloud cover and light northerly flow. This aligns with trader emphasis on 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting typical early-summer variability before the full onset of the East Asian monsoon. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, so current guidance sits slightly below seasonal norms, likely due to transient high pressure and reduced insolation rather than a major synoptic shift. Key uncertainties remain in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated model cycles and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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