**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower. This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$79,421 交易量
$79,421 交易量
2026-06-12
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$79,421 交易量
$79,421 交易量
2026-06-12
23°C or below
$2,610 交易量
No
24°C
$3,075 交易量
No
25°C
$3,400 交易量
No
26°C
$4,883 交易量
No
27°C
$4,717 交易量
No
28°C
$10,846 交易量
No
29°C
$13,911 交易量
Yes
30°C
$10,701 交易量
No
31°C
$11,481 交易量
No
32°C
$9,429 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$4,368 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower.
This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$79,421结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower.
This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$79,421结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C reflects consistent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models showing a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 29°C for Wuhan on June 12, 2026.** Mid-June climatology in central China typically brings highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius under stable subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited diurnal variability once morning heating peaks. Recent model runs align tightly on this value, showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would push readings higher or lower. This skin-in-the-game certainty stems from the narrow forecast spread and the day’s progression already confirming temperatures will not exceed the threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve last-minute model revisions from unexpected convective activity or measurement adjustments at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题