National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport show a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow holding daytime highs near 70°F as of midday on June 14, aligning with the 67% market-implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Numerical model consensus and climatological norms for mid-June, when coastal stratus and southwest winds of 5-15 mph routinely suppress warming, support limited upside beyond 72-73°F despite partly cloudy conditions. This setup matches recent analogs like the 72°F high recorded on June 13, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ outcomes below 4%. The NWS daily climatological report will provide final resolution once all observations are verified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日洛杉矶气温最高?
70-71°F 55%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$86,495 交易量
$86,495 交易量
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67华氏度
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
55%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 55%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$86,495 交易量
$86,495 交易量
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67华氏度
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
55%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport show a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow holding daytime highs near 70°F as of midday on June 14, aligning with the 67% market-implied probability for the 70-71°F bin. Numerical model consensus and climatological norms for mid-June, when coastal stratus and southwest winds of 5-15 mph routinely suppress warming, support limited upside beyond 72-73°F despite partly cloudy conditions. This setup matches recent analogs like the 72°F high recorded on June 13, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ outcomes below 4%. The NWS daily climatological report will provide final resolution once all observations are verified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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