Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather models indicate a daily high near 90–91°F for Miami on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 55.5% implied probability for that bin and 35.5% for 92–93°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer subtropical conditions, where the average high at Miami International Airport is 89°F, driven by high solar insolation, southeasterly flow, and moderating Atlantic sea-surface temperatures around 82–83°F. Limited cloud cover and only scattered afternoon convection are expected to allow temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the norm without triggering stronger cooling from widespread storms. Recent regional observations showing low-90s readings earlier in June support the modest upward bias in trader sentiment, though model spread and potential sea-breeze effects introduce uncertainty around the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日迈阿密气温最高?
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 38%
88-89°F 6.7%
94-95°F 3.0%
$25,925 交易量
$25,925 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
56%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 38%
88-89°F 6.7%
94-95°F 3.0%
$25,925 交易量
$25,925 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
56%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather models indicate a daily high near 90–91°F for Miami on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 55.5% implied probability for that bin and 35.5% for 92–93°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer subtropical conditions, where the average high at Miami International Airport is 89°F, driven by high solar insolation, southeasterly flow, and moderating Atlantic sea-surface temperatures around 82–83°F. Limited cloud cover and only scattered afternoon convection are expected to allow temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the norm without triggering stronger cooling from widespread storms. Recent regional observations showing low-90s readings earlier in June support the modest upward bias in trader sentiment, though model spread and potential sea-breeze effects introduce uncertainty around the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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