Current official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including recent runs showing a daily maximum near 91°F (33°C) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, have driven near-certain trader consensus on the 33°C outcome for Chengdu on June 14. Mid-June climatology typically features highs of 28–31°C amid the onset of the regional rainy season, yet persistent high pressure and limited afternoon convection today support reaching but not exceeding this threshold. With resolution imminent via verified station data, the market-implied odds reflect strong alignment across model ensembles. Only a sharp, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or precipitation could realistically suppress the peak below 33°C, while an unexpected intensification of solar heating remains improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 99.9%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,808 交易量
$56,808 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.9%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,808 交易量
$56,808 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
$11,600 交易量
<1%
32°C
$10,866 交易量
<1%
33°C
$14,172 交易量
100%
34°C
$5,607 交易量
<1%
35°C
$3,808 交易量
<1%
36°C
$4,009 交易量
<1%
37°C
$2,077 交易量
<1%
38°C
$2,711 交易量
<1%
39°C
$652 交易量
<1%
40°C
$713 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$611 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including recent runs showing a daily maximum near 91°F (33°C) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, have driven near-certain trader consensus on the 33°C outcome for Chengdu on June 14. Mid-June climatology typically features highs of 28–31°C amid the onset of the regional rainy season, yet persistent high pressure and limited afternoon convection today support reaching but not exceeding this threshold. With resolution imminent via verified station data, the market-implied odds reflect strong alignment across model ensembles. Only a sharp, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or precipitation could realistically suppress the peak below 33°C, while an unexpected intensification of solar heating remains improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$56,808结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including recent runs showing a daily maximum near 91°F (33°C) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, have driven near-certain trader consensus on the 33°C outcome for Chengdu on June 14. Mid-June climatology typically features highs of 28–31°C amid the onset of the regional rainy season, yet persistent high pressure and limited afternoon convection today support reaching but not exceeding this threshold. With resolution imminent via verified station data, the market-implied odds reflect strong alignment across model ensembles. Only a sharp, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or precipitation could realistically suppress the peak below 33°C, while an unexpected intensification of solar heating remains improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56,808结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETCurrent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including recent runs showing a daily maximum near 91°F (33°C) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, have driven near-certain trader consensus on the 33°C outcome for Chengdu on June 14. Mid-June climatology typically features highs of 28–31°C amid the onset of the regional rainy season, yet persistent high pressure and limited afternoon convection today support reaching but not exceeding this threshold. With resolution imminent via verified station data, the market-implied odds reflect strong alignment across model ensembles. Only a sharp, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or precipitation could realistically suppress the peak below 33°C, while an unexpected intensification of solar heating remains improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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