Shenzhen's subtropical summer climate, with typical June highs near 30–32°C driven by warm, humid air masses from the South China Sea, underpins the market's near-certainty in a 31°C daily maximum. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models align on this peak amid stable high-pressure patterns and moderate wind, with minimal day-to-day variability observed in recent similar conditions. The extremely high implied probability reflects traders' confidence in these converging data, where even slight model adjustments rarely shift the outcome outside a narrow range. Only a sudden influx of heavier rain or unexpected northerly flow could realistically cap temperatures below 31°C, though current guidance shows low odds of such disruption before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日深圳气温最高？
6月14日深圳气温最高？
31°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
33°C <1%
$92,045 交易量
$92,045 交易量
2026-06-14
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
31°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
33°C <1%
$92,045 交易量
$92,045 交易量
2026-06-14
24°C或以下
$440 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,414 交易量
<1%
26°C
$7,970 交易量
<1%
27°C
$16,571 交易量
<1%
28°C
$12,650 交易量
<1%
29°C
$12,490 交易量
<1%
30°C
$16,197 交易量
<1%
31°C
$11,099 交易量
100%
32°C
$7,468 交易量
<1%
33°C
$6,376 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$6,745 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shenzhen's subtropical summer climate, with typical June highs near 30–32°C driven by warm, humid air masses from the South China Sea, underpins the market's near-certainty in a 31°C daily maximum. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models align on this peak amid stable high-pressure patterns and moderate wind, with minimal day-to-day variability observed in recent similar conditions. The extremely high implied probability reflects traders' confidence in these converging data, where even slight model adjustments rarely shift the outcome outside a narrow range. Only a sudden influx of heavier rain or unexpected northerly flow could realistically cap temperatures below 31°C, though current guidance shows low odds of such disruption before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$92,045结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shenzhen's subtropical summer climate, with typical June highs near 30–32°C driven by warm, humid air masses from the South China Sea, underpins the market's near-certainty in a 31°C daily maximum. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models align on this peak amid stable high-pressure patterns and moderate wind, with minimal day-to-day variability observed in recent similar conditions. The extremely high implied probability reflects traders' confidence in these converging data, where even slight model adjustments rarely shift the outcome outside a narrow range. Only a sudden influx of heavier rain or unexpected northerly flow could realistically cap temperatures below 31°C, though current guidance shows low odds of such disruption before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92,045结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETShenzhen's subtropical summer climate, with typical June highs near 30–32°C driven by warm, humid air masses from the South China Sea, underpins the market's near-certainty in a 31°C daily maximum. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models align on this peak amid stable high-pressure patterns and moderate wind, with minimal day-to-day variability observed in recent similar conditions. The extremely high implied probability reflects traders' confidence in these converging data, where even slight model adjustments rarely shift the outcome outside a narrow range. Only a sudden influx of heavier rain or unexpected northerly flow could realistically cap temperatures below 31°C, though current guidance shows low odds of such disruption before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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