Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as Seoul’s daily maximum on June 14 due to stable early-summer synoptic conditions over the Korean Peninsula. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and regional model runs indicate clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June when average highs hover near 26–27°C. Recent surface observations from Incheon International Airport station show morning lows around 19°C rising steadily but capping near the 26°C threshold under moderate humidity and minimal convective activity. This positioning aligns with verified observational data rather than longer-range projections. Only an unexpected late-afternoon surge in insolation or a shift in steering winds could push readings into the 27°C+ range before resolution criteria close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日首尔气温最高?
26°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$201,139 交易量
$201,139 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
26°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$201,139 交易量
$201,139 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as Seoul’s daily maximum on June 14 due to stable early-summer synoptic conditions over the Korean Peninsula. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and regional model runs indicate clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating, consistent with climatological norms for mid-June when average highs hover near 26–27°C. Recent surface observations from Incheon International Airport station show morning lows around 19°C rising steadily but capping near the 26°C threshold under moderate humidity and minimal convective activity. This positioning aligns with verified observational data rather than longer-range projections. Only an unexpected late-afternoon surge in insolation or a shift in steering winds could push readings into the 27°C+ range before resolution criteria close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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