Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, 2026, under the expanding Pacific High with typical early-summer humidity, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatological averages near 26°C and recent model consensus showing no strong warming signals or clear-sky amplification. Trader positioning at 96.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this stable pattern and the low likelihood of deviation on resolution day. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 27–28°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched high-pressure setup and ongoing rainy-season moisture.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 89.0%
27°C 13.4%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$71,540 交易量
$71,540 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
89%
27°C
19%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 89.0%
27°C 13.4%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$71,540 交易量
$71,540 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
89%
27°C
19%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C in Tokyo on June 14, 2026, under the expanding Pacific High with typical early-summer humidity, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatological averages near 26°C and recent model consensus showing no strong warming signals or clear-sky amplification. Trader positioning at 96.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this stable pattern and the low likelihood of deviation on resolution day. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 27–28°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched high-pressure setup and ongoing rainy-season moisture.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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