Current forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a daily maximum near 22–23°C in Amsterdam on June 16, driven by south-easterly flow, light showers, and moderate cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these bins because ensemble runs show tight clustering around this range, with minor spreads arising from uncertainty in diurnal temperature rise, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing. Historical mid-June baselines average 18–20°C highs, but recent drier patterns have supported modestly warmer outcomes; resolution hinges on official Schiphol station readings, where even small shifts in insolation or advection could favor 24°C instead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
23°C 36%
22°C 27%
24°C 25%
21°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
25%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 36%
22°C 27%
24°C 25%
21°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
36%
24°C
25%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a daily maximum near 22–23°C in Amsterdam on June 16, driven by south-easterly flow, light showers, and moderate cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these bins because ensemble runs show tight clustering around this range, with minor spreads arising from uncertainty in diurnal temperature rise, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing. Historical mid-June baselines average 18–20°C highs, but recent drier patterns have supported modestly warmer outcomes; resolution hinges on official Schiphol station readings, where even small shifts in insolation or advection could favor 24°C instead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题