Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a Wuhan daytime maximum of 31–33°C on June 16, 2026, as seasonal solar heating strengthens amid the East Asian summer monsoon transition. Subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day showers create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C, with the former slightly favored. Persistent humidity near 70% and light easterly winds will moderate peak readings, while recent observational trends from mid-June analogs show similar variability of 1–2°C tied to diurnal convection. Traders’ consensus aggregates these NWP outputs with historical climatology, where mid-month highs average near 31°C but can shift rapidly with updated model runs expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 8.2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
36%
33°C
27%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C 8.2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
36%
33°C
27%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a Wuhan daytime maximum of 31–33°C on June 16, 2026, as seasonal solar heating strengthens amid the East Asian summer monsoon transition. Subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day showers create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C, with the former slightly favored. Persistent humidity near 70% and light easterly winds will moderate peak readings, while recent observational trends from mid-June analogs show similar variability of 1–2°C tied to diurnal convection. Traders’ consensus aggregates these NWP outputs with historical climatology, where mid-month highs average near 31°C but can shift rapidly with updated model runs expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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