Official AEMET forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, indicate a daily maximum of 34°C at the Retiro reference station, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure and clear skies have promoted strong solar insolation and surface heating, while model consensus from European centers shows limited potential for further warming to 35°C. A regional heat wave has elevated temperatures 8–14°C above seasonal norms, yet afternoon cloud build-up or subtle Atlantic flow could cap the peak near the lower end of the 34–35°C range. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and real-time observations, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could determine whether the maximum settles at 34°C or edges higher before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
34°C 49%
35°C 35%
33°C 13%
36°C 5.7%
$45,278 交易量
$45,278 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
13%
34°C
49%
35°C
35%
36°C
6%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
35°C 35%
33°C 13%
36°C 5.7%
$45,278 交易量
$45,278 交易量
2026-06-14
31°C or below
$3,939 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,278 交易量
1%
33°C
$6,937 交易量
13%
34°C
$6,184 交易量
49%
35°C
$9,258 交易量
35%
36°C
$8,236 交易量
6%
37°C
$3,065 交易量
<1%
38°C
$1,327 交易量
<1%
39°C
$564 交易量
<1%
40°C
$422 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$417 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, indicate a daily maximum of 34°C at the Retiro reference station, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure and clear skies have promoted strong solar insolation and surface heating, while model consensus from European centers shows limited potential for further warming to 35°C. A regional heat wave has elevated temperatures 8–14°C above seasonal norms, yet afternoon cloud build-up or subtle Atlantic flow could cap the peak near the lower end of the 34–35°C range. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and real-time observations, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could determine whether the maximum settles at 34°C or edges higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$45,278结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, indicate a daily maximum of 34°C at the Retiro reference station, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure and clear skies have promoted strong solar insolation and surface heating, while model consensus from European centers shows limited potential for further warming to 35°C. A regional heat wave has elevated temperatures 8–14°C above seasonal norms, yet afternoon cloud build-up or subtle Atlantic flow could cap the peak near the lower end of the 34–35°C range. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and real-time observations, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could determine whether the maximum settles at 34°C or edges higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,278结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETOfficial AEMET forecasts for Madrid on June 14, 2026, indicate a daily maximum of 34°C at the Retiro reference station, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure and clear skies have promoted strong solar insolation and surface heating, while model consensus from European centers shows limited potential for further warming to 35°C. A regional heat wave has elevated temperatures 8–14°C above seasonal norms, yet afternoon cloud build-up or subtle Atlantic flow could cap the peak near the lower end of the 34–35°C range. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and real-time observations, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could determine whether the maximum settles at 34°C or edges higher before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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