Current MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 46%
13°C 26%
11°C 25%
14°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
25%
12°C
46%
13°C
26%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 46%
13°C 26%
11°C 25%
14°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
7°C or below
$150 交易量
<1%
8°C
$102 交易量
<1%
9°C
$87 交易量
1%
10°C
$161 交易量
2%
11°C
$653 交易量
25%
12°C
$535 交易量
46%
13°C
$1,134 交易量
26%
14°C
$2,302 交易量
4%
15°C
$1,709 交易量
1%
16°C
$79 交易量
1%
17°C or higher
$143 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$6,974结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,974结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent MetService and numerical weather prediction model consensus points to a June 16 maximum near 11–12°C in Wellington, driven by a southerly airstream and frontal passage that will replace recent milder northerly flow. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 12°C (42.5%), 11°C (25%), and 13°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the latest model runs against June climatology (average high ~13°C). Slightly cooler-than-average guidance has edged 12°C into the lead, while probabilities for 14°C or higher remain minimal given limited warm-air advection. Updated model output and MetService briefings ahead of resolution will determine whether the distribution shifts further toward 11°C or stabilizes near the current implied range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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