**Northerly winds and a mild airmass are supporting a maximum near 16°C for Wellington on June 15, with model consensus from MetService and other sources centering on that value or slightly higher.** Seasonal averages for mid-June sit around 13°C, so the current setup represents above-normal winter warmth driven by northerly flow that has already produced record June highs above 19°C earlier in the month. Forecasts show 16°C as the most likely peak under partly cloudy skies with showers possible, though timing of any frontal passage or increased cloud could trim the high by 1°C or allow a brief spike toward 17°C. Trader pricing—17°C at 48.5% and 16°C at 41%—reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, with the slight edge to 17°C capturing residual upside from model variability or observational rounding in official MetService readings. Lower outcomes remain low-probability given the established mild pattern and absence of strong southerly cooling signals in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 50%
16°C 41%
18°C 9%
15°C 3.5%
最新
$13,729 交易量
最新
$13,729 交易量
2026-06-15
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
41%
17°C
50%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 50%
16°C 41%
18°C 9%
15°C 3.5%
最新
$13,729 交易量
最新
$13,729 交易量
2026-06-15
11°C or below
$167 交易量
<1%
12°C
$365 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,254 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,051 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,272 交易量
4%
16°C
$768 交易量
41%
17°C
$1,975 交易量
50%
18°C
$1,124 交易量
9%
19°C
$790 交易量
1%
20°C
$636 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$352 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds and a mild airmass are supporting a maximum near 16°C for Wellington on June 15, with model consensus from MetService and other sources centering on that value or slightly higher.** Seasonal averages for mid-June sit around 13°C, so the current setup represents above-normal winter warmth driven by northerly flow that has already produced record June highs above 19°C earlier in the month.
Forecasts show 16°C as the most likely peak under partly cloudy skies with showers possible, though timing of any frontal passage or increased cloud could trim the high by 1°C or allow a brief spike toward 17°C. Trader pricing—17°C at 48.5% and 16°C at 41%—reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, with the slight edge to 17°C capturing residual upside from model variability or observational rounding in official MetService readings. Lower outcomes remain low-probability given the established mild pattern and absence of strong southerly cooling signals in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$13,729结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds and a mild airmass are supporting a maximum near 16°C for Wellington on June 15, with model consensus from MetService and other sources centering on that value or slightly higher.** Seasonal averages for mid-June sit around 13°C, so the current setup represents above-normal winter warmth driven by northerly flow that has already produced record June highs above 19°C earlier in the month.
Forecasts show 16°C as the most likely peak under partly cloudy skies with showers possible, though timing of any frontal passage or increased cloud could trim the high by 1°C or allow a brief spike toward 17°C. Trader pricing—17°C at 48.5% and 16°C at 41%—reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, with the slight edge to 17°C capturing residual upside from model variability or observational rounding in official MetService readings. Lower outcomes remain low-probability given the established mild pattern and absence of strong southerly cooling signals in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,729结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET**Northerly winds and a mild airmass are supporting a maximum near 16°C for Wellington on June 15, with model consensus from MetService and other sources centering on that value or slightly higher.** Seasonal averages for mid-June sit around 13°C, so the current setup represents above-normal winter warmth driven by northerly flow that has already produced record June highs above 19°C earlier in the month. Forecasts show 16°C as the most likely peak under partly cloudy skies with showers possible, though timing of any frontal passage or increased cloud could trim the high by 1°C or allow a brief spike toward 17°C. Trader pricing—17°C at 48.5% and 16°C at 41%—reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, with the slight edge to 17°C capturing residual upside from model variability or observational rounding in official MetService readings. Lower outcomes remain low-probability given the established mild pattern and absence of strong southerly cooling signals in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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